Current Status and Recent Moves Introduction In 2013, I wrote The Modified Ned Davis Method, an article posted on Six Figure Investing, which described a greater than 50-year out-of-sample test using primarily the Russell 2000 index. The test continued until recently, posting trade updates on Six Figure Investing and X within a few days after each trade was made. Even though results were computed only …
Over the years I have developed a lot of respect for the condition of breadth divergence, when an index such as the S&P 500 is rising and the NYSE daily cumulative advance-decline line is not. In January 2016 I listed the performance of my method on the short side as a function of the number of consecutive weeks of divergence at the time of the …
In September 2013, I published a post written by Frank Roellinger on his stock market trading system—a modification of the Ned Davis system first published in the 80s. Since Frank’s work was first published here he has shifted his Russell 2000 positions 11 times, each move reported here and on my twitter account. His hypothetical portfolio value has increased from 1658 to 1936 (+16.7%)—impressive given …
Probably the most difficult thing to do in stock market investing is to identify a good time to sell. Many technical indicators have been devised to identify lows around the time they occur or soon thereafter with a moderate degree of success, but to my knowledge that has not happened for tops with comparable success. My own modified Davis method does not do a very …
It’s been about 7 months since my article on The Modified Davis Method first appeared, so it’s time for an update. Here is the original chart updated through 3/28/14. As before, the top (white) line is the method’s results; the yellow line is the Value Line/Russell 2000 series; the green line is the S&P 500 for reference. The method is still 100% long after the last …
