2004 Redux–into a negative trend line?

I’m continuing with the hypothesis that there are a lot of similarities to the 2003/2004 market that might help  predict the future action of the market.   Clearly volatility is higher now than the 2003/2004 period, and the transition from upward trend line to a sideways market has been scarier–but these are scary times.  Looking back at 2004, the market went into a slightly declining …

Read more

2023 Ex-Dividend & Paydate / Distribution information for ETFs

I have collected dividend, ex-dividend, paydate/ distribution information for 2023 on the following ETFs. Alerian  AMLP Invesco  Quarterly Group I:  EWEM  EWMC  EWRE  EWSC  OEW  RCD  RFG  RFV  RGI  RHS  RPG  RPV  RZG  RZV  RSP  RTM  RYE  RYF  RYH  RYT  RYU  XLG iShares iShares:  AGG  CMF  CSJ  HYG  IEF  IEI  IGOV  ISHG  LQD  PFF  SHV  SHY  TIP  TLH  TLT iShares:  AGZ  CFT  CIU  EMB  GBF  …

Read more

Rally or Fall — this week should tell

I’m don’t pay much attention to the month of the year predictors for the stock market such as “As January goes, so goes the year”. As this post points out, the statistics are hardly overwhelming.   There are tax and cultural reasons (year end, lots of time off/holidays) that reasonably give December and January some seasonal effect, but as far as predictors go, it is …

Read more

Fear and Greed in a Tussle

Neither the bulls or the bears have gotten the upper hand this week.   The specter of another debacle, similar to last year’s, hangs out in the back of our minds, but the fairly constant stream of good earnings reports provides a counterbalance.    I think this correction has pretty much run its course.   I’m putting some more chips down… Did a covered call of SPY–bought …

Read more