How Does VXX Work?

How does VXX trade?  How is VXX’s value established? What does VXX track? How does Barclays make money on VXX? VXX’s 2022 share creation crises On 14-Mar-2022, Barclays suspended share creations of VXX due to an administrative screw-up. During the suspension, VXX traded at premiums as high as 52% over its IV price. This premium over the IV price can develop because share creations are …

Read more

VIX Futures—Crystal Ball or Insurance Policy?

Many people seem to believe that the CBOE’s VIX Futures market is attempting to predict upcoming CBOE VIX® values.  I think they are mistaken.  Most futures prices have very little to do with predicting the future. Futures contracts were invented to allow producers/consumer of commodities to limit their business risk by locking in future prices.  In exchange for eliminating price risk, they give up the potential for increased …

Read more

How Meaningful are VIX’s Big Percentage Moves?

Occasionally there are eye-popping percentage moves in the CBOE’s VIX® index—these moves generate a lot of headlines .  As an antidote to the hype a few savvy VIX followers noted:  “Remember that $VIX is already a percentage.”   Jared Woodward from Condor Options “The $VIX was up 2.08% today, NOT 18.5%”  Mark Sebastian from Option Pit . I have to admit that my brain spun a bit on Jared’s percent of a percent …

Read more

When You Think Your Exchange Traded Fund is Broken…

Frequently I see people complaining that their Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) or Exchange Traded Note (ETN) is broken. Occasionally they’re right, but most of the time they’re not.  Before complaining, here are some things to look at: Are you looking at the right index? All Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) track an index, which is identified in their prospectus, and in the fund’s fact sheet.   Don’t …

Read more

When a Hurricane Messes with a Volatility Index

In 2010 I set out to prove that I understood the indexes that underlie the volatility Exchange Traded Products (ETPs).  I developed a spreadsheet that uses the CBOE’s historical VIX Futures data to produce the short term (1 to 2 month) and medium term (4th through 7th month) rolling volatility indexes. The heart of these indexes is the daily roll of VIX futures contracts.  At …

Read more